User experience will ultimately decide the fate of 4G
It is ultimately the user experience that will make or break mass adoption of 4G technologies such as LTE and WiMax. The end user does not really care what kind of PHY layer, MAC layer or network protocols these technologies use.
The end user needs to be able to surf the Internet reliably, to stream audio and video efficiently while paying the lowest price possible. The promotional headlines highlighting the fact that 4G will provide 100Mbps data rates is of no meaning to most consumers.
In my opinion, providing a reliable network access for HD video streaming, HD live TV and two-way HD video conferencing will be the main challenge for operators as the demand for these services is on the rise while compression technologies have reached their theoretical limits.
For 4G to be a success operators have to meet the above consumers’ expectations while managing to make an acceptable ROI. Despite the bandwidth efficiency of OFDMA, as is used in LTE and WiMax, making money will be a huge challenge if QoS needs to be maintained at an acceptable level. This is because a substantial percentage of subscribers in a typical cell will either be streaming HD video or will be having a two-way HD videoconferencing session.
For the technical folks out there, let us remember that the advertised 100Mbps rate is a peak over-the-air data rate. What that means is that the average user will experience much less effective rates. This is fine if the majority of users are only surfing or talking, both of which are either bursty in nature (i.e. surfing) or requires very low data rate (i.e. voice) .
Will beyond-4G technologies such as LTE-advanced will be the answer? Only time will tell.
about 2 years ago
I think the other challenge in LTE is the very large transformation happening in the system architecture:
WiMax was simply carrying the concept of broadband data to a long range wireless interface. And broadband data was already working fine in short range wireless.
LTE aims to change the way cellular communciations works, by moving it from TDM to all-IP, plus changing the air interface, plus handle HD video , plus having it share the channel with data, and do all the above concurrently with high speed mobility..
LTE needs to prove itself before beyond-4G is seriously considered.
about 2 years ago
Its worth emphasizing a point: The simple reasons we use cellular communications are in my opinion:
a – its practical
b – the voice is clear, near toll-quality that we are used to at home
c – it has cheap terminals
LTE needs to meet all 3 above to take off, and points b and c above would be a challenge to meet in the near term. Note that data is not a priority for most cellular users.
about 2 years ago
I agree that one of the major issues with LTE is voice since it has an all-IP architecture. This explains the strict delay requirements of sub 5ms. I expect VOIP technology to continue improving over time and this will be a no issue by the time LTE is deployed on a large scale.
about 2 years ago
Interesting deal with Sequans licensing MIMO intellectual property for their upcoming LTE platform for terminals, see their website press release.
It shows is that innovative solutions for LTE are needed, and if presented/marketed in a good manner, it can be a viable business.
Other than Sequans, I am sure Intel, TI, and some Asia-Pac RF silicon vendors can be interested in a similar technology.